April 06, 2004

The signs are there -- they're small though

I've been participating in a strategy review with a facilitator of some skill and experience. We've been assessing the "fields of reality," which, in pedestrian language is an analysis of the business context and environment: getting a lay of the land projected forward by 5-10 years. We do that typically by looking at trends and forces at work in the industry and at large. Anyway, we were having a discussion about an impending disruption to the industry that would, in my view, come on in a cascade rather than a slow ramp. He posed an interesting question.

"How," he asked, "would you know the change was coming? In other words, what are the signs?"

Excellent line of thought. Well, in keeping with that, faithful readers may recall that this blog has more than once said that the communications world -- including the mail and courier businesses -- is changing and will change significantly once telecommunications and Internet are more than pipe-sharers. Moreover, we've blogged ENUM, and the VoIP activity going on both at Bell at AT&T in the USA. Now, the real stuff begins. Testing by Cogeco here and coverage of Vonage in the US here.

It's not Revelation, but the signs are there -- if you look.

Posted by Grayson at April 6, 2004 07:47 AM